Understanding the latest market movements
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Past Issues
April 2024
Geopolitical Risks: Vote is The King
The escalation of the war in the Middle East is more beneficial to USD assets
Which non-U.S. currency is more resistible amid recent strong US dollar trend?
“Self-immolation” in the Middle East is more beneficial to USD assets
The results of global election are bound to become one of the risk factors for future investment
Changes in international relationship during the Election Year may spur global investment risks
March 2024
Is this favor for US cyclical stocks in the presidential election year? (2)
Comprehensive Analysis of Multiple Economic Factors on Cyclical Stock Performance (2)
Decline in Both Economy and Inflation: Implications for the BoE’s policy
Is This Favor for US Cyclical Stocks in The Presidential Election Year?
Comprehensive Analysis of Multiple Economic Factors on Cyclical Stock Performance (1)
US Presidential Election (4): US Stock Well-Performs in Elections
The Impact of The US Presidential Election on The Investment Market (4): US Equities Triumph
February 2024
US presidential election (3): War, Economy and Sino-US Conflict
The impact of the US presidential election on the investment market (3): War, Economy and Conflict
US presidential election (2): Influence of bipartisan rivalry on market trends
The impact of the US presidential election on the investment market (2): Bipartisan rivalry
US presidential election (1): Poll results reflect future market trends
The impact of the US presidential election on the investment market (1): Poll analysis
January 2024
The ECB’s January hold suggests an approaching rate cut could be likely
Factors dominating US equity performance (2): Interest rate turning point
Major factors affecting US stocks in this year (2): Interest rate turning point
Factors dominating US equity performance (1): Economic growth
Major factors affecting US stocks in this year (1): Economic growth
The spread of war in the Middle East may accelerate "de-dollarization"
The tone of the Sino-US frontal military conflict is still immature
The odd of a Sino-US military conflict is low
The “black swan” events that cannot be ignored this year
Yellen visiting China will become a turning point in the China-US relationship
December 2023
The logic behind Yellen’s intention to visit China
Extension of Sino-US Conflict: "Asian-dollar" or "BRIC-dollar" (2)
Extension of Sino-US Conflict (2): "Asian-dollar" or "BRIC-dollar"
Extension of Sino-US Conflict - "Wartime Economy" (1)
November 2023
Extension of Sino-US Conflict (1): "Wartime Economy"
Diversification of investment risks is even more important in the military competition
Sino-US relationship approaching cold peace
US equity will eventually lose on a fundamental reversal
The true sense of high interest rate
October 2023
The deep logic of high interest rates
"Bear-steepening" dominates the bond market (Part 2)
Bond market strategy: "Bear steepening" (Part 2)
"Bear-steepening" dominates the bond market (Part 1)
Bond market strategy: "Bear steepening" (Part 1)
A peek at US stocks trends through another angle
Derivatives market predicts upcoming risks for US equity market
September 2023
The retreat in US market is irrelevant with the government shutdown
Retail investors who are kept in the dark
"Higher for longer" is not the main theme
The focus of the FOMC meeting is not the outcome of interest rate decision
The emperor 's new clothes and the brave child
Biased interpretation on economic data is the source of risk in US equity markets
The little-known side of “Goldilocks”
The effectiveness of optimization measures on equity market under Sino-US conflict is questionable
August 2023
Macro analysis on the effectiveness of China and Hong Kong stock market optimization measures
A Superficial Analysis of the PBOC Relief Policies
A brief discussion on the recent adjustment of interest rate strategy by PBOC
Another meaning of "IG over HY" strategy
Ripples in stock market volatility may spread to bond market
Pay attention to the bond market risk caused by the stock market
Investors should be prepared to mitigate risks
July 2023
Is the performance of US stocks superficial?
Brief sharing on the US recession risk (II)
Brief sharing on the US recession risk (I)
The speechless US recession (I)
Searching investment opportunities from economic data (II)
Digesting the data on China's economic recovery (II)
June 2023
Searching investment opportunities from economic data (I)
Digesting the data on China's economic recovery (I)
Preparing for recession even more under false pretenses
Get ready for recession after the FOMC meeting
Prepare early for a US recession
Less-than-1-year investment-grade treasury bonds are attractive
The debt ceiling crisis is over but not the US economic problems
The fallout of debt ceiling crisis is lingering
A brief on the Japanese stock market
May 2023
How far the tech sectors can support the current index uptrend?
The Japanese stock market is suddenly under the spotlight
Treasury default crisis: low probability but deep impact
Investors can’t ignore the impact of US debt ceiling on the markets
Defensive sectors stand out ahead of recession
This is not about time for the Renminbi to become a major international currency