The Bank of East Asia

Wealth Management

Understanding the latest market movements

This report is available in Traditional Chinese only.

 

Past Issues

February 2024

US presidential election (2): Influence of bipartisan rivalry on market trends

The impact of the US presidential election on the investment market (2): Bipartisan rivalry

US presidential election (1): Poll results reflect future market trends

The impact of the US presidential election on the investment market (1): Poll analysis

 

January 2024

The ECB’s January hold suggests an approaching rate cut could be likely

Factors dominating US equity performance (2): Interest rate turning point

Major factors affecting US stocks in this year (2): Interest rate turning point

Factors dominating US equity performance (1): Economic growth

Major factors affecting US stocks in this year (1): Economic growth

The spread of war in the Middle East may accelerate "de-dollarization"

The tone of the Sino-US frontal military conflict is still immature

The odd of a Sino-US military conflict is low

The “black swan” events that cannot be ignored this year

Yellen visiting China will become a turning point in the China-US relationship

 

December 2023

The logic behind Yellen’s intention to visit China

Deadlock on US debt

Extension of Sino-US Conflict: "Asian-dollar" or "BRIC-dollar" (2)

Extension of Sino-US Conflict (2): "Asian-dollar" or "BRIC-dollar"

Extension of Sino-US Conflict - "Wartime Economy" (1)

 

November 2023

Extension of Sino-US Conflict (1): "Wartime Economy"

 Diversification of investment risks is even more important in the military competition

Cold Peace

Sino-US relationship approaching cold peace

US equity will eventually lose on a fundamental reversal

Save for a rainy day

The true sense of high interest rate

 

October 2023

The deep logic of high interest rates

"Bear-steepening" dominates the bond market (Part 2)

Bond market strategy: "Bear steepening" (Part 2)

"Bear-steepening" dominates the bond market (Part 1)

Bond market strategy: "Bear steepening" (Part 1)

Foot voting

A peek at US stocks trends through another angle

Derivatives market predicts upcoming risks for US equity market

 

September 2023

The retreat in US market is irrelevant with the government shutdown

Retail investors who are kept in the dark

"Higher for longer" is not the main theme

The focus of the FOMC meeting is not the outcome of interest rate decision

The emperor 's new clothes and the brave child

The emperor 's new clothes

Biased interpretation on economic data is the source of risk in US equity markets

The little-known side of “Goldilocks”

The effectiveness of optimization measures on equity market under Sino-US conflict is questionable

 

August 2023

Macro analysis on the effectiveness of China and Hong Kong stock market optimization measures

A Superficial Analysis of the PBOC Relief Policies

A brief discussion on the recent adjustment of interest rate strategy by PBOC

Another meaning of "IG over HY" strategy

Ripples in stock market volatility may spread to bond market

Pay attention to the bond market risk caused by the stock market

Investors should be prepared to mitigate risks

 

July 2023

Is the performance of US stocks superficial?

Brief sharing on the US recession risk (II)

Brief sharing on the US recession risk (I)

The speechless US recession (I)

Searching investment opportunities from economic data (II)

Digesting the data on China's economic recovery (II)

 

June 2023

Searching investment opportunities from economic data (I)

Digesting the data on China's economic recovery (I)

Preparing for recession even more under false pretenses

Get ready for recession after the FOMC meeting

Prepare early for a US recession

Less-than-1-year investment-grade treasury bonds are attractive

The debt ceiling crisis is over but not the US economic problems

The fallout of debt ceiling crisis is lingering

A brief on the Japanese stock market

 

May 2023

How far the tech sectors can support the current index uptrend?

The Japanese stock market is suddenly under the spotlight

Treasury default crisis: low probability but deep impact 

Investors can’t ignore the impact of US debt ceiling on the markets

Defensive sectors stand out ahead of recession

This is not about time for the Renminbi to become a major international currency

Sino-US financial war benefits Hong Kong's development

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