 |
July, 1999
| BANKING |
|
Amount |
% change, yoy, unless otherwise stated |
|
($bn) |
Monthly |
Quarterly |
Yearly |
|
5/99 |
5/99 |
4/99 |
Q1/99 |
Q4/98 |
Q3/98 |
Q2/98 |
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
| HKD M0 (in HKD) |
84.1 |
4.7 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
0.7 |
(2.0) |
(3.1) |
0.7 |
5.3 |
7.3 |
| HKD M1 (in HKD) |
178.1 |
2.9 |
(2.0) |
(2.0) |
(5.2) |
(17.2) |
(17.0) |
(5.2) |
(5.1) |
15.5 |
| HKD M2 (in HKD) |
1,844.5 |
10.5 |
10.1 |
8.5 |
9.9 |
3.6 |
0.4 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
19.3 |
| HKD M3 (in HKD) |
1,855.9 |
10.3 |
9.9 |
8.2 |
9.4 |
3.2 |
0.3 |
9.4 |
9.9 |
18.9 |
| Spread (Prime-Hibor3) (pa) (%) |
na |
3.1 |
3.45 |
2.97 |
3.63 |
0.18 |
2.32 |
1.86 |
1.71 |
3.07 |
| Res. mortg. loans outstanding |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| (before adjusted to reclassification) |
na |
8.2 |
7.7 |
7.9 |
9.6 |
9.4 |
16.9 |
9.6 |
28.3 |
18.9 |
| (after adjusted to reclassification) |
473.1 |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
| Loans-to-Deposits Ratio (pa) (%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| (Total) |
na |
98.6 |
100.4 |
106.6 |
114.4 |
120.4 |
135.7 |
128.8 |
158.1 |
164.2 |
| (HKD) |
na |
96.7 |
96.7 |
100.5 |
101.2 |
105.1 |
112.1 |
107.9 |
110.3 |
106.0 |
| Foreign Currency Reserves^ (in US$bn) |
88.9 |
88.9 |
89.5 |
89.5 |
89.6 |
88.4 |
96.5 |
89.6 |
93.2 |
69.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Deposits |
2,989.9 |
12.0 |
11.0 |
8.8 |
10.9 |
6.2 |
1.7 |
10.9 |
8.4 |
10.2 |
| HKD Deposits @ |
1,708.2 |
10.8 |
10.0 |
8.1 |
9.7 |
2.6 |
(0.6) |
9.7 |
9.8 |
19.5 |
| FC Deposits # |
1,281.7 |
13.5 |
12.4 |
9.7 |
12.6 |
11.3 |
4.9 |
12.6 |
6.6 |
(0.4) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Loans & Advances |
2,947.7 |
(19.5) |
(18.9) |
(18.1) |
(19.8) |
(21.4) |
(16.1) |
(19.8) |
5.3 |
4.7 |
| Loans in HKD |
1,652.4 |
(5.3) |
(4.6) |
(3.6) |
(2.7) |
(4.8) |
3.0 |
(2.7) |
20.4 |
16.9 |
| Loans in FC |
1,295.3 |
(32.4) |
(31.4) |
(30.7) |
(32.3) |
(33.5) |
(28.5) |
(32.3) |
(3.6) |
(1.4) |
| Loans for use in HK1 |
2,007.6 |
(9.3) |
(8.0) |
(6.9) |
(5.5) |
(3.5) |
4.1 |
(5.5) |
22.6 |
16.0 |
| Loans for use outside HK2 |
940.1 |
(35.0) |
(34.7) |
(34.3) |
(36.7) |
(41.1) |
(35.8) |
(36.7) |
(9.8) |
(3.4) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Loans for use in HK (eop) |
na |
na |
na |
(6.9) |
(5.5) |
(3.5) |
4.1 |
(5.5) |
22.6 |
15.9 |
| To purchase residential properties |
na |
na |
na |
8.1 |
9.1 |
8.1 |
16.0 |
9.1 |
28.8 |
20.9 |
| Property Development & Investment |
na |
na |
na |
(6.5) |
(10.1) |
0.7 |
7.3 |
(10.1) |
31.6 |
26.0 |
| Trade Finances1 |
na |
na |
na |
(24.6) |
(22.5) |
(16.8) |
(9.7) |
(22.5) |
4.3 |
6.7 |
| Financial Concerns |
na |
na |
na |
(20.0) |
(7.0) |
(1.8) |
8.0 |
(7.0) |
26.2 |
16.7 |
| Wholesale & Retail Trade |
na |
na |
na |
(14.2) |
(13.6) |
(4.8) |
(2.4) |
(13.6) |
15.7 |
6.3 |
| Manufacturing |
na |
na |
na |
(15.0) |
(15.5) |
(10.8) |
(8.0) |
(15.5) |
3.8 |
7.6 |
| Credit Card |
na |
na |
na |
11.9 |
13.7 |
20.7 |
26.6 |
13.7 |
29.0 |
17.3 |
| Consumer Finance ¡± |
na |
na |
na |
(13.9) |
(11.7) |
(11.3) |
1.0 |
(11.7) |
19.8 |
13.5 |
| PRIVATE CONSUMPTION |
|
|
|
% change, yoy, unless otherwise stated |
|
Amount |
Monthly |
Quarterly |
Yearly |
|
4/99 |
4/99 |
3/99 |
Q1/99 |
Q4/98 |
Q3/98 |
Q2/98 |
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
| Retail Sales |
(Value) |
$14.2bn |
(10.0) |
(14.0) |
(13.0) |
(18.9) |
(19.4) |
(15.5) |
(16.8) |
4.9 |
6.3 |
|
(Volume) |
na |
(4.0) |
(9.6) |
(9.4) |
(16.7) |
(19.7) |
(16.3) |
(16.8) |
1.1 |
1.6 |
| Restaurant Receipts |
(Value) |
$13.8bn(99Q1) |
na |
na |
(2.0) |
(2.0) |
(4.4) |
(4.0) |
(3.9) |
6.0 |
5.0 |
|
(Volume) |
na |
na |
na |
(1.0) |
(3.0) |
(5.9) |
(6.7) |
(6.2) |
2.0 |
2.0 |
| Department Store |
(Value) |
na |
(16.2) |
(20.3) |
(17.5) |
(25.5) |
(26.6) |
(26.4) |
(26.5) |
(3.2) |
4.5 |
|
(Volume) |
na |
(1.2) |
(9.8) |
(8.5) |
(21.2) |
(28.5) |
(28.8) |
(27.0) |
(9.3) |
(1.5) |
| Visitors Arrivals |
0.89mn |
11.1 |
12.4 |
11.1 |
5.5 |
10.5 |
(16.9) |
(8.0) |
(11.1) |
14.7 |
| PROPERTY |
|
|
% change, yoy, unless otherwise stated |
|
Amount |
Monthly |
Quarterly |
Yearly |
|
5/99 |
5/99 |
4/99 |
Q1/99 |
Q4/98 |
Q3/98 |
Q2/98 |
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
| Sales & purchase agreements |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Value |
$32.7bn |
7.0 |
(14.1) |
(18.4) |
(5.1) |
(78.2) |
(64.8) |
(54.3) |
83 |
79 |
| Number |
12,150 |
26.0 |
(11.1) |
10.9 |
18.0 |
(64.4) |
(52.3) |
(50.2) |
39 |
51 |
| New res. mortg. approved of 33 AIs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Number, during the period |
9,547 |
52.2 |
70.0 |
26.3 |
29.9 |
(55.5) |
(60.1) |
(34.9) |
18.5 |
68.5 |
| Value per loan, during the period |
$1.61mn |
(3.6) |
(14.5) |
(27.8) |
(24.1) |
(28.6) |
(10.5) |
(12.0) |
27.2 |
6.8 |
| Private residential |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rental (official) |
na |
na |
na |
(19.7) |
(10.4) |
(21.5) |
(10.9) |
(16.5) |
13.5 |
(1.7) |
| Price (official) |
na |
na |
na |
(14.0) |
(40.0) |
(38.3) |
(25.2) |
(52.9) |
40.9 |
9.6 |
| HK |
$4,368/sf |
(12.4) |
(20.7) |
(25.5) |
(37.6) |
(42.3) |
(26.5) |
(29.4) |
na |
na |
| KL |
$3,882/sf |
(11.7) |
(18.4) |
(25.3) |
(39.6) |
(44.8) |
(30.3) |
(31.9) |
na |
na |
| NT |
$3,247/sf |
(8.0) |
(18.6) |
(21.5) |
(37.2) |
(44.4) |
(32.8) |
(32.2) |
na |
na |
| Rental yield (%) : |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| HK |
na |
4.07 |
4.04 |
4.23 |
4.35 |
4.43 |
3.99 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
na |
| KL |
na |
4.42 |
4.24 |
4.49 |
4.62 |
4.78 |
4.49 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
na |
| NT |
na |
3.70 |
3.70 |
3.71 |
3.83 |
3.90 |
3.56 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
na |
| Residential construction completed (sq.m.), ytd |
189.5thou.
Feb |
26.6
Feb |
9.2
Jan |
na |
1.1 |
42.3 |
(6) |
22.9 |
(7) |
(13) |
| Res.l construction consent to start work (sq.m.), ytd |
304thou. Feb |
127.0
Feb |
33.2
Jan |
na |
57.8 |
(29.8) |
(39) |
(9.7) |
54 |
54 |
| MACRO INDICATORS |
|
Amount |
% change, yoy unless otherwise stated |
|
($bn) |
Monthly |
Quarterly |
Yearly |
|
5/99 |
5/99 |
4/99 |
Q1/99 |
Q4/98 |
Q3/98 |
Q2/98 |
1998 |
1997 |
1996 |
| GDP |
na |
na |
na |
(3.5) |
(5.7) |
(6.9) |
(5.1) |
(5.1) |
5.3 |
4.5 |
| Composite CPI |
na |
(4.0) |
(3.8) |
(1.8) |
(0.7) |
2.8 |
4.4 |
2.8 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
| Labour |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Unemployment Rate (%) |
na |
6.3 |
6.3 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
4.9 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
| Unemployed ('000 people) |
na |
216.0 |
216.0 |
207.6 |
194.1 |
179.4 |
143.7 |
157.6 |
71.3 |
86.1 |
| External Trade |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total Exports |
108.6 |
(4.1) |
(8.1) |
(9.0) |
(13.6) |
(10.3) |
(3.1) |
(7.4) |
4.2 |
4.0 |
| Domestic Exports |
13.8 |
(15.0) |
(17.4) |
(12.2) |
(19.0) |
(11.9) |
(3.6) |
(10.9) |
(0.4) |
(8.4) |
| Re-exports |
94.8 |
(2.3) |
(6.7) |
(8.5) |
(12.7) |
(10.1) |
(3.0) |
(6.9) |
5.0 |
6.6 |
| Total Imports |
108.9 |
(12.5) |
(14.9) |
(13.8) |
(18.2) |
(15.5) |
(6.0) |
(11.5) |
5.2 |
3.0 |
| Trade Balance (in $bn) |
(0.3) |
(0.3) |
(6.7) |
(12.9) |
(8.1) |
(6.1) |
(35.0) |
(81.4) |
(159.1) |
(137.8) |
^ Foreign Currency Reserves in Land Fund are not included before June 30, 1997.
 Consumer finance included individual private and business loans other than property purchases & credit card advance.
1 Loans to finance merchandising trade not touching HK would be included in trade finance & loans for use in HK.
2 Others loans where the place of use is not known would be included in loans for use outside HK.
| pa: Period averages |
@ adjusted to include swap deposits |
| # adjusted to exclude swap deposits |
eop: End-of-period |
| na: Not applicable |
e: Estimate |
This material is prepared by the Economic Research Department. Data on Hong Kong are obtained from the Census and Statistics Department & the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. It is based upon information which we consider reliable. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
KEY INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS
(Update: 16th July, 1999) |
| Country |
Unemployment
Rate |
Inflation
Rate |
Real GNP/GDP
Growth Rate |
Trade Balance
(US$ bn) |
Money Supply
(narrow) |
Prime Lending
Rate |
| US |
4.3% (Jun) |
2.1% (May) |
4.0% (Q1) |
-25.50 (Apr) |
2.4% (May) |
8.00% |
| UK |
6.2% (Apr) |
1.3% (May) |
0.6% (Q1) |
-3.51 (Apr) |
6.6% (May) |
5.00% |
| Euro-11 |
10.3% (May) |
0.9% (May) |
1.8% (Q1) |
5.24 (Apr) |
11.3% (Apr) |
4.15% |
| Japan |
4.6% (May) |
-0.4% (May) |
0.1% (Q1) |
10.27 (Apr) |
11.0% (May) |
1.375% |
| Australia |
7.2% (Jun) |
1.2% (Q1) |
4.8% (Q1) |
-0.94 (May) |
7.6% (May) |
8.75% |
| Canada |
7.6% (Jun) |
1.6% (May) |
3.2% (Q1) |
1.64 (Apr) |
1.1% (May) |
6.25% |
| China |
3.1%* |
-2.2% (May) |
8.3% (Q1) |
1.9 (May) |
13.3% (Apr) |
5.85%** |
| Hong Kong |
6.3% (Mar-May) |
-4.0% (May) |
-3.4% (Q1) |
-0.04 (May) |
2.9% (May) |
8.25% |
* Official figure, end of 1998
** One-year lending rate |
Chart 1: With the property and stock markets become more active, savings and demand deposits rebound.
Chart 2: In the past few months, the property market seems to have bottomed out, as buyers' confidence appears to be restoring.
Chart 3: Although the annual growth of retain sales remains in negative territory, the magnitude of decline has narrowed. |
|
